How does a world-renowned superforecaster compare to public health experts when forecasting the future of the pandemic? We spoke with one to find out....View Details

What are the core components of forecasts and how can those pinpoint areas for improvement? How can those principles be applied to forecasting war bet...View Details

In early 2020, when discussion around a Covid-19 vaccine first started, our guest made a forecast regarding vaccine roll-outs that ended up being spot...View Details

How do the best forecasters update their beliefs? Do markets or prediction polls elicit the best forecasts? In this week’s episode of GGWP, Pavel At...View Details

When the Suez Canal got blocked by the Ever Given shipping vessel a global trade crisis began, costing the global economy $10 billion a day. Knowing w...View Details

In this week's special episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, Andrew and Clay are joined by Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov of Pytho: A bouti...View Details

In the sixth episode of the Global Guessing Weekly #Podcast we sit down with Rootclaim founder Saar Wilf. Saar goes over his entrepreneurial backgroun...View Details

We review the new books that we've been reading on forecasting and geopolitics. We also cover the major geopolitical stories of the week, including th...View Details

Clay and Andrew are flying solo...or rather duo. In this week’s episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we chat about the most pressing news fro...View Details

Ross, founder of AR Global Security, a brand dedicated to providing news and analysis about the global security landscape, joins us this week. We disc...View Details

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