Jun 17th, 2021
In episode 5 of The Right Side of Maybe, Clay talks to Datscilly, the top-ranked forecaster on the Metaculus leaderboards, who only 18 months after first forecasting won nearly $50,000 in the IARPA Geopolitical Forecasting Challenge 2 where he placed second. How did Datscilly improve his skills so quickly? What was his strategy for excelling in a competition setting? And how is he able to get to the right side of maybe before others so quickly, so reliably, and so often? Datscilly answers these questions and more, while also diving dive into a particular forecast relating to Ebola on Metaculus which he did particularly well on.